Miracle Odds Calculator (Littlewood's Law)
The Miracle Odds Calculator applies Littlewood's Law idea: given the odds of a rare event and how many chances you get per day, it estimates how long until it happens. Enter the odds and daily chances.
Formula
Expected days = (1-in-N odds) ÷ Chances per Day
- Littlewood's Law suggests a person can expect a 'one in a million' event about monthly.
- This treats each chance as independent with equal odds.
1 in a million, 1000 chances/day
Inputs
- Odds: 1 in …: 1000000
- Chances per Day: 1000
1,000,000 ÷ 1,000 = 1,000 days ≈ 2.7 years on average.
Frequently asked questions
What is Littlewood's Law?
The idea that 'miracles' (one-in-a-million events) happen to a person at a rate of about one per month, given how many events we experience.