Mask vs No Mask Risk Calculator

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The Mask vs No Mask Risk Calculator shows how much a mask reduces your estimated infection risk in a given situation. Enter the baseline risk without a mask and the mask's effectiveness.

Formula

Risk with mask = Baseline Risk × (1 − Effectiveness)
  • Effectiveness combines filtration and fit; a well-fitted respirator performs best.
  • This is a simplified estimate for comparison, not a medical prediction.

10% baseline, 70% effective

Inputs
  • Baseline Risk (no mask): 10 %
  • Mask Effectiveness: 70 %

10% × (1 − 0.70) = 3% risk with a mask, a 7-point reduction.

Frequently asked questions

How much do masks reduce risk?
It depends on fit and type. A mask that is 70% effective cuts a 10% baseline risk to about 3%.